Planning and estimating
Why padded estimates still run late, how dependencies and optimism distort plans, and how buffers protect delivery.
Topics: All insights · Constraints and bottlenecks · Resource management · The cost of delay · Portfolio decisions · Value and business cases · Planning and estimating
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The Dependency Tax: Why Connecting Two Projects Costs More Than Either One
Read the piece: The Dependency Tax: Why Connecting Two Projects Costs More Than Either OneProject dependencies read as a free arrow on the plan. The dependency tax prices the merge bias, shared risk and hidden queue behind that arrow.
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The Watermelon Report: Why Your Status Dashboard Goes Green Until the Week It Goes Red
Read the piece: The Watermelon Report: Why Your Status Dashboard Goes Green Until the Week It Goes RedA project status report template alone will not catch trouble early if it still tracks percent-complete. Buffer management is the number that does.
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Your Estimates Are Padded, and Your Projects Are Still Late
Read the piece: Your Estimates Are Padded, and Your Projects Are Still LateEstimation bias makes everyone pad toward the worst case. Aggregated buffers absorb that safety once, at the chain, not wasted task by task.